Calculator
🏀 What Is this?

This simulator will help you understand how the scores in tournament games can affect the share value of teams.

📈How Does It Work?

Simply input the scores for two teams and the point spread. The simulator calculates and shows you how these scores impact the teams' share values.

🔍Explore Scenarios

You can experiment with different scores and point spreads to see various outcomes. This is great for getting insights into how game results influence team valuations.

🔀Modes

Tired of all these instructions taking up so much space? Switch to basic mode above!

1️⃣Enter current share values

First we'll enter the current share values for each team. These are the share values before the game has completed.

For the sake of this demonstration, we'll set them each to $3,000.

2️⃣Enter team scores

Next we'll enter a score for the favorite (the team expected to win) and a score for the underdog (the team expected to lose).

3️⃣Enter the point spread

Then we'll enter the point spread for the game.

In CBB Blue Chips, you can essentially think of the point spread as the number of points the favorite is expected to win by.

We only set the point spread once for each game at the beginning of the day the game is played. The point spread has no bearing on the actual outcome of the game, but is used when determining how teams' share values will change.

Note that in our game the point spread will always a half-point value. This is to prevent ties from occurring and share values remaining the same.

4️⃣Determine spread coverage

Before we can complete the final step of calculating the new share values, we need to know whether or not the spread was covered.

Winner
Favorite(by 2 points)

In the above scenario, the favorite has won the game by scoring 2 points more than the underdog.

Spread
Not Covered(by 1.5 points)

In this scenario, in order to cover the spread, the favorite must have won by at least 3.5 points.

If we subtract 3.5 points from the favorite's score, reducing it to 68.5, we can see that they were unable to cover because that is 1.5 less than the underdog's score of 70.

5️⃣Enter the current round

The final step is to understand how the share values will change based on the point spread outcome above.

Share values change differently depending on the current round of the tournament. A breakdown of the algorithm behind share value changes can be seen here.

Note that share value decreases are only half as severe as share value increases.

Share Value Increases
0.5 - 3.5 pts+ 160 / pt
4.5 - 6.5 pts+ 80 / pt
7.5 - 9.5 pts+ 40 / pt
10.5+ pts+ 20 / pt
Share Value Decreases
0.5 - 3.5 pts- 80 / pt
4.5 - 6.5 pts- 40 / pt
7.5 - 9.5 pts- 20 / pt
10.5+ pts- 10 / pt
6️⃣The new share values

With a complete understanding of the underlying logic behind share value changes, now we can view the new share values.

Favorite Share Value
2,840

Even though the favorite won, since they were unable to cover by 1.5 points, their share value has gone down. The new share value is highlighted in the table below.

0.5 pts 2,920
1.5 pts 2,840
2.5 pts 2,760
3.5 pts 2,680
4.5 pts 2,640
5.5 pts 2,600
6.5 pts 2,560
7.5 pts 2,540
8.5 pts 2,520
9.5 pts 2,500
10.5 pts 2,490
11.5 pts 2,480
12.5 pts 2,470
13.5 pts 2,460
14.5 pts 2,450
15.5 pts 2,440
16.5 pts 2,430
17.5 pts 2,420
18.5 pts 2,410
19.5 pts 2,400
20.5 pts 2,390
21.5 pts 2,380
22.5 pts 2,370
23.5 pts 2,360
24.5 pts 2,350
25.5 pts 2,340
26.5 pts 2,330
27.5 pts 2,320
28.5 pts 2,310
29.5 pts 2,300
30.5 pts 2,290
31.5 pts 2,280
Underdog Share Value
3,320

Since the favorite was unable to cover the spread by 1.5 points, the underdog's share value will go up. The new share value is highlighted in the table below.

0.5 pts 3,160
1.5 pts 3,320
2.5 pts 3,480
3.5 pts 3,640
4.5 pts 3,720
5.5 pts 3,800
6.5 pts 3,880
7.5 pts 3,920
8.5 pts 3,960
9.5 pts 4,000
10.5 pts 4,020
11.5 pts 4,040
12.5 pts 4,060
13.5 pts 4,080
14.5 pts 4,100
15.5 pts 4,120
16.5 pts 4,140
17.5 pts 4,160
18.5 pts 4,180
19.5 pts 4,200
20.5 pts 4,220
21.5 pts 4,240
22.5 pts 4,260
23.5 pts 4,280
24.5 pts 4,300
25.5 pts 4,320
26.5 pts 4,340
27.5 pts 4,360
28.5 pts 4,380
29.5 pts 4,400
30.5 pts 4,420
31.5 pts 4,440

The chart below further illustrates how spread coverage (or failure to do so) affects share value.